By Kelley Arnold and Heather Perkins, CSG Elections Center
Voters across the country will head to the polls next week to make important decisions about a wide variety of issues. Two of the more controversial topics being taken to the voters in multiple states are marriage and abortion. Here’s a quick overview of how the electorate seems to be leaning:
Marriage
Arizona Proposition 102—This proposition would amend the constitution to define marriage as a union between a man and a woman. Recent polls suggest the amendment will have enough voter support to pass next week. In 2006, voters rejected a similar proposal to define marriage, but it would have also denied partner benefits, which led to its defeat. That provision is not included in the new proposal.
California Proposition 8—This proposition would eliminate the right of same-sex couples to marry and would define marriage as a union between a man and woman. Polls suggest support for the proposition has grown over the past month, with some even indicating that it now has enough backing to pass.
Florida Amendment 2—Recent statewide polls suggest there is not quite enough support for this amendment to pass. The amendment, which would define marriage as a union between a man and a woman, doesn’t seem to have the 60 percent approval that it needs to pass. Many say it won’t pass because the language of the amendment would open it up legal challenges that could jeopardize domestic partner benefits for both heterosexual and same-sex couples.
Abortion
California Proposition 4—This proposition would require parental or legal guardian notification and a 48-hour waiting period after notification for a minor to obtain an abortion. Polls indicate the proposition currently has enough support to pass, thanks to growing support from Latinos and women.
Colorado Amendment 48—This amendment would change the constitution to define the term “person” to include any human being from the moment of conception. Polls indicate the amendment does not have enough support to pass. Many voters have been influenced by talk that if passed, the amendment would lead to a ban on abortion, and outlaw birth control pills and in vitro fertilization because of the vague nature of its wording.
South Dakota Measure 11—If passed, this measure would prohibit all abortions except in the case of serious risk to the mother’s health or in cases of rape or incest before the fetus is 20 weeks old. State polls show voters are equally divided on their support for or against this amendment, which strongly suggests undecided voters may very well be the deciding factor on Election Day.
Additional CSG Elections Center resources
State-by-State Coverage
State Executive Races Overview
State Legislative Races Overview
State Judicial Races Overview
State Initiatives & Referenda Appearing on the Ballot
State Political Maps
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